Trading Quiz #2
August 28th, 2007What do you make of this chart?
Time to dust off your technical analysis skills and take a look at the following chart, and tell me what you think…
Time to dust off your technical analysis skills and take a look at the following chart, and tell me what you think…
Emotional control is important for both sides of trading. It’s been said and written about plenty of times, that keeping your emotions in check when taking a loss is vital. In fact, it’s becoming a monotonous subject in trading literature and educational material worldwide.
But how do you respond emotionally when you have a win? How do you respond emotionally if you have a winning streak, or even better, how do you react? Do you react? How about a big win? I don’t mean one of those home runs that a lot of novices chase after, thinking it will answer all their prayers. I mean the sort of trade that comes once in a while and affords you the ability to take more losses than winners. How do you respond to these?
For those of you that haven’t read the first part of this trading quiz, please look back a couple of posts and do so now.
For the rest of you, read on and see what happened next…
Are you one of those traders who always needs to be right? Maybe you’re like that in most areas of your life. Novice traders fall into this category more so than any other level of trader. The need to be right stems from not being able to accept criticism, and this stems from having an emotional attachment to criticism.
Think about this for a second; our desire to be right all the time most likely came from our earlier years where we were taught that mistakes are wrong. The biggest problem with this way of thinking is that there is an emotional attachment to the mistakes such as feeling inferior or inadequate. Because of these undesirable feelings, we strive to be correct all the time.
Hi everyone, I think it’s time for a little quiz.
Take a look at the chart below, and tell me what (if anything) you would do, and why you’d do it.
100 traders were given a stock pick from a highly reputable trader/advisor. The pick came with entry price, stop loss and method of trail. [His accuracy in the past made him second to none, however very few of his clients can make the sort of returns he does, even though they follow his picks religiously.]
Of the 100 traders that entered the trade (all at roughly the same price), only 5 went on to make double digit returns, and only 1 went on to make a triple digit return. 50 broke even, 40 lost money and the remaining 14 had mixed results but all were less than double digit returns. So what happened?
Despite trying to keep my posts simple and easy to understand, I’ve been guilty of using jargon without always realising it, and in my recent posts on the 1-2-3 breakout trading system I didn’t make much of an effort to clarify trends.
In this post we are going to rectify that and use some basic technical analysis skills to give you a basic outline of trends.
The Dow30 (DJIA) presented a perfect short trade on the 9th on the hourly chart.
What presented as a trade began forming around the end of July and the 1st of Aug, and made its final completion on the 8th where it said to me, Dean, here is a possible short.
I want you to go to the hourly chart of the DOW and tell me exactly what it was I saw. If you can do that I will give you a free copy of my book, the Financial Market Fisherman.
This morning I woke up to the news that in the US the Dow had fallen 2.8% (387 points) overnight, along with falls in other markets. The ASX XJO, the Australian top 200 index has lost 3.7% today in a 229 point fall.
Having been a member of a private forum that focussed on put credit spreads, I know there are going to be many traders that will have found the last two weeks of trading particularly stressful.
The posts I dreaded reading from members of that forum time and time again after falls like this can be paraphrased in five words; “What should I do now?”
You may have heard before, trading can be a lonely business. But this can depend on whether you choose to do it alone or whether you choose to seek support. For many, trading will be a lonely business, and also a very frustrating one.
Seeking support from others is actually a natural process, and also a reciprocating affair. You should seek others support with the intention of having a mutual friendship, but also to make yourself accountable.